Russian tanks invade breakaway region

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Looks like my prediction is taking place sooner, and at a more heightened state, than expected. Take that, Rick Reuben!

From this thread: http://electrical.com/phpBB2/viewtopic. ... sia#722188


30 Years: The economy continues to tank. All measures used by the US government to help the economy yield no results. Indeed, they backfire, making things much, much worse. More and more countries begin seeing food riots. Russia and several northern European countries threaten military action over resources in the north.
www.23beatsoff.blogspot.com

Nina wrote: We're all growing too old to expect solace from watching Camus and Ayn Rand copulate.

Russian tanks invade breakaway region

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To state the bleeding obvious, I really, really hope that the separatist estimate of civilian dead is hugely inflated:

The BBC wrote:...and separatists estimate that 1,400 civilians have died.


To put that figure into proportion, South Ossetia has a population of around 70,000. That's 2% of the country's people claimed killed in a single day.

Edit: on the first BBC link above, there is a link to the Georgian foreign ministry. As at the time of writing, it has been hijacked with this:

Image
Gib Opi kein Opium, denn Opium bringt Opi um!

Russian tanks invade breakaway region

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http://www.marinecorpstimes.com/news/20 ... a_080808w/

According to the Marine Corps, there are 130 or so US Marines in Georgia, serving as trainers for the Georgian military. They're not stationed near the fighting in South Ossetia, they're in Tblisi.

The other thing that the story - and therefore the Pentagon - says is that the Georgians hit South Ossetia first on the 7th. The the "breakway province" in this case is broken away from Georgia, not Russia. Supposedly they declared themselves as part of Russia.

Sparky, that clip of "cyberwar" website vandalism is pretty amazing. The Russian hacker is already a tried and true stereotype, but to Hitler the war on the day it starts must be some kind of online aggression record.

-r

Russian tanks invade breakaway region

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warmowski wrote:Sparky, that clip of "cyberwar" website vandalism is pretty amazing. The Russian hacker is already a tried and true stereotype, but to Hitler the war on the day it starts must be some kind of online aggression record.



I've checked the Georgian Foreign Ministry site a couple of times since, and it looks like its closed down. It is a cheap and effective way of scratching an opponent's face, isn't it? You probably have read about it already, but I am still blown away by how Russian hackers shut down Estonia's internet. "The People's Army", arf.

The other thing that the story - and therefore the Pentagon - says is that the Georgians hit South Ossetia first on the 7th. The the "breakway province" in this case is broken away from Georgia, not Russia. Supposedly they declared themselves as part of Russia.


Most reporting that I've seen (purely on the internet, I should add) has seemed slanted towards this being a defensive act on the part of Georgia. Yet South Ossetia has had, in the words of the BBC, "de facto independence" since 1992. To respond to some limited clashes with a bloody, full-scale invasion seems to me both highly aggressive and stupidly reckless.

And it looks like Georgia has been kicked out of the area, suffering a lot of death and infrastructure damage, with the added joys of another breakaway region, Abkhazia, preparing to break away just a little bit more.

I find this hard to see as anything other than a huge cock-up on the part of the Georgian President, Mikhail Saakashvili; perhaps a cock-up on the part of any others who might have given him a sly nod when he decided to send in the troops. Putin must be dancing for joy.

The South Ossetian civilian death toll estimate has gone up to 1,500, which again I am staggered by. This might be largely inflated for propaganda purposes - and I hope it is - but the way it is tucked away in some articles is a bit off.

The Lenin's Tomb analysis of it today is pretty interesting. Likewise for the one before it.

Edit: Following the links above, I've just read an older article in the Nation written by Stephen Cohen on "the New Cold War" which I found sad, frightening and pretty damning. Well worth a read.
Gib Opi kein Opium, denn Opium bringt Opi um!

Russian tanks invade breakaway region

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Just one more thing... Finding my way to another scary article in the Nation, this time about the enthusiasm of McCain and others apparent eagerness for proxy war against Russia, I'm reminded of this oft-overlooked fact:

At the request of Russia, the U.N. Security Council held an emergency session in New York but failed to reach consensus early Friday on a Russian-drafted statement.

The council concluded it was at a stalemate after the United States, Britain and some other members backed the Georgians in rejecting a phrase in the three-sentence draft statement that would have required both sides "to renounce the use of force," council diplomats said.


And then there's this:

The invasion was backed up by a PR offensive so layered and sophisticated that I even got an hysterical call today from a hedge fund manager in New York, screaming about an "investor call" that Georgian Prime Minister Lado Gurgenidze made this morning with some fifty leading Western investment bank managers and analysts. I've since seen a J.P. Morgan summary of the conference call, which pretty much reflects the talking points later picked up by the US media.

These kinds of conference calls are generally conducted by the heads of companies in order to give banking analysts guidance. But as the hedge fund manager told me today, "The reason Lado did this is because he knew the enormous PR value that Georgia would gain by going to the money people and analysts, particularly since Georgia is clearly the aggressor this time." As a former investment banker who worked in London and who used to head the Bank of Georgia, Gurgenidze knew what he was doing. "Lado is a former banker himself, so he knew that by framing the conflict for the most influential bankers and analysts in New York, that these power bankers would then write up reports and go on CNBC and argue Lado Gurgenidze's talking points. It was brilliant, and now you're starting to see the American media shift its coverage from calling it Georgia invading Ossetian territory, to the new spin, that it's Russian imperial aggression against tiny little Georgia."

The really scary thing about this investor conference call is that it suggests real planning. As the hedge fund manager told me, "These things aren't set up on an hour's notice."


Apologies for the huge cut 'n' pastes, but this conniving is genuinely amazing.
Gib Opi kein Opium, denn Opium bringt Opi um!

Russian tanks invade breakaway region

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It's true that the oversimplification / campaign story of Russia hitting Georgia is the prevailing take in the mainstream press. That bit about the ex-banker engineering that by way of conference call to his old racquetball pals is worth remembering.

Similar to the strategy of combing The Economist and the like when you want to know what Wall Street/London considers actual news, I find many actual positions of the Pentagon - sans PR campaigns from outside the US military - can be found in the service branch media.

I do have a big question: what is the deal with the EU flag appearing behind Saakashvili when he's on TV? I mean, why not throw a NATO standard up there too while he's at it, and scare the crap out of everybody even more? Or a 51-star US flag? I mean, huh?

-r

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