Re: Politics

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zorg wrote: Fri Apr 04, 2025 8:49 pm I have not read Art of the Deal, but I expect this is in his playbook.
I read it, almost 40 years ago. There's nothing revelatory or even particularly interesting in it. I've since learnt he didn't even write it, he used a ghostwriter and slapped his name on it.
Dave N. wrote:Most of us are here because we’re trying to keep some spark of an idea from going out.

Re: Politics

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zorg wrote: Fri Apr 04, 2025 8:49 pm
offal wrote: Fri Apr 04, 2025 3:20 pm I've read some commentary that suggests it's partially just Trump enjoying being a bully, trying to look "strong", without any real understanding of how markets work -- and when some of the backlash inevitably gets so bad that he backpedals on some of it, he gets to look like the good guy.
I have not read Art of the Deal, but I expect this is in his playbook. He already kind of showed his cards with waffling on the Mexican/Canada threats. I think its all just a ploy to bring everybody to the negotation table, and see if he can get a couple of accidental wins along the way. None of it truly meaningful ultimately, but it lets him grandstand and look “important.”
And it's backfiring spectacularly because Trump is a clown and no one outside the GOP is afraid of him.

Re: Politics

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RE: tariffs.
In reality what the Trump administration has done to generate these figures is to divide the US trade deficit with a country by that country’s total exports to the United States, and in cases where the US has a trade surplus with a country (like the UK) they’ve applied an arbitrary 10% tariff.

In the case of Vietnam, Trump is claiming that they impose 90% tariffs on US goods which is absurd, but if we look at their exports to the US of 136.6 billion minus their imports from the US of 13.1 billion, that leaves a deficit of 123.5 billion, which is exactly the 90% on Trumps chart.

If we take Jordan as another example, they’ve been hit with a 20% tariff, one of the highest rates in the middle east, despite having been one of the first economies to sign a free trade agreement with the US in 2000.

The reason they’ve been hit with a 20% tariff isn’t because they charge the US high tariffs, it’s merely because they sell more goods to the United States than the United States sells to them.

It’s the same story across the board, the United States government is presenting their trade deficits with other countries as if they’re tariffs being applied to US goods exported there.

It’s an extraordinary display of economic illiteracy.

From here.
Dave N. wrote:Most of us are here because we’re trying to keep some spark of an idea from going out.

Re: Politics

4764
zorg wrote: Fri Apr 04, 2025 8:49 pm
offal wrote: Fri Apr 04, 2025 3:20 pm I've read some commentary that suggests it's partially just Trump enjoying being a bully, trying to look "strong", without any real understanding of how markets work -- and when some of the backlash inevitably gets so bad that he backpedals on some of it, he gets to look like the good guy.
I have not read Art of the Deal, but I expect this is in his playbook. He already kind of showed his cards with waffling on the Mexican/Canada threats. I think its all just a ploy to bring everybody to the negotation table, and see if he can get a couple of accidental wins along the way. None of it truly meaningful ultimately, but it lets him grandstand and look “important.”
Good grief! It is NOT a ploy!

Have none of you been awake for the past 40 years? Read up on how his casinos failed. Read up on how the USFL failed.

There is no ploy. He’s dumber than anyone you’ve ever known. Stop trying to see a strategy here.

Re: Politics

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From the outside what baffles me is these “emergency powers” he’s using to force through without congressional oversight. I was listening to an Economist podcast, the speaker was an expert on US economic history and made it clear previous major policy shifts were generally part of a wider political movement with congress, often developed in Washington think tanks etc. This is just a guy with an obsession overruling the entire parliamentary system in the US. This isn’t how America governance is supposed to work.
clocker bob may 30, 2006 wrote:I think the possibility of interbreeding between an earthly species and an extraterrestrial species is as believable as any other explanation for the existence of George W. Bush.

Re: Politics

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Gramsci wrote: Sat Apr 05, 2025 2:39 am From the outside what baffles me is these “emergency powers” he’s using to force through without congressional oversight.
Yeah, where was the emergency? We were running a B+ economy. Yes, my Marxist friends, wealth inequality widening, other social burdens like a pitiful health care system have continued to be absurd/difficult, but by the typical measures a white house would rank on (employment numbers, consumer confidence etc) things were going fairly well.

The way a POTUS could just call "emergency powers" based on any nameable problem and do as they please is problematic, yet the occasional need to sidestep a typically slow and dysfunctional congress can also be real. Some legislative genius needs to find some way to measure and qualify "emergency".

Re: Politics

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It needs to be sais out loud--even though it's obvious--that the only reason our system worked for over two centuries until now is because people respected the rules, even when working through the loopholes. It's just shown how flimsy the system is, because even though Trump is a clown, everyone expects the president to be... Well, presidential.

Do we even have a country anymore if our leaders just ignore a piece of paper that says we are?

Re: Politics

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It's scary how easy it has been to march over your whole society without any considerable resistance.

I wonder if you (the non-MAGA) will offer MAGA folk the proverbial golden bridge when they want to backpedal from this mess. I know there is a huge temptation to tell them to fuck off (and worse), and rightfully so, but a lot of good that will do.

Also: who would've thought that Anthony Scaramucci would turn out to be an outspoken opponent of Trump?

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