jason from volo wrote: Sat Jul 24, 2021 2:14 pm
Another series of questions; predictions, really:
- Which party will win control of the US house in 2022? How about the senate?
Yeah, historically the party who holds the executive office tends to frequently take a beating during midterms. It would take so little for Republicans to control the Senate, and just a bit more the House. Our legislature seems doomed to be disfunctional indefinitely. It would be fascinating to see what 60 blue Senate seats would do, especially with Sanders pushing things left and a president keen on being an FDR style savior, but I don't think that's happening anytime soon.
jason from volo wrote: Sat Jul 24, 2021 2:14 pm
- Will Biden run again in 2024? If not, who will be the democrat's nominee? How about the republican nominee? And who will end up winning?
I fear Biden will be hell bent on running again in 24, and he's not going to be in very good shape. Democrats are going to have to pull together and be smart about how they handle this, and Democrats haven't been very good at those things.
As for the Republicans, there's far too much chaos for me to really predict. One thing I'm starting to see is that Trump might just be the biggest liability to them, and they'd be better off if he'd be quiet and go away. I don't think he can win again as the percentage of moderates and independents that helped him edge out Clinton, seemed to have lost their taste for his shit. This is in contrast to whatever 30% of his base is a hardened cult that just might reject anyone who competes with him. He seems like he could harmfully divide the party.