Re: January 6 Hearings
Posted: Wed Jun 29, 2022 2:03 pm
In case you missed it, this is a pretty good rundown from the other night, as far as these things go:
Exactly.Fucking Internet.
Fall 2021: Deep, Divisive, Disturbing and Continuing: New Survey Shows Mainstream Community Support for Violence To Restore Trump Remains Strong [pdf]Anthony Flack wrote: Sat Jul 23, 2022 5:53 pmExactly.Fucking Internet.
How many people are going to get radicalised on social media? Will it be an ever-rising proportion, will it settle on a stable population of derp-susceptible people, or will it greatly depend on algorithms and regulation? American-funded brainrot is everywhere in the English-speaking world now?
This report is nearly a year old now, but I doubt the committee hearings this year have made much difference to hardcore Trump supporters -- a bit of difference for a few, maybe, but not enough to render this study's extremely grim conclusions obsolete.UChicago poli sci people wrote:KEY FINDING #2:
One might expect 9.3 months after Jan 6:
1. Interest would naturally wane
2. Arresting 650+ would have a chilling effect
3. De-platforming Trump would de-energize support for violent restoration
Instead:
1. Movement is large and stable from June to Sept (21 million)
2. May well continue (or grow) with the coming election season and as Trump launches his own social media platform
3. There is a large mass of kindling waiting for an incendiary moment
OVERALL FINDING:
Large Mobilization Potential For Replay of “Stolen Election” Violence in 2022 Primaries and Midterms
You're never going to sway the swivel-eyed loons, they're lost down the rabbit hole. Where these hearings can make a difference though is to ordinary people - people with no strong partisan feelings, swing voters and the like. It could even galvanise people who don't normally bother voting. Note that the 2020 election had one of the biggest voter turnouts ever seen - because the US had seen enough of trump. These hearings can only make those feelings stronger.susanvp wrote: Sun Jul 24, 2022 4:29 am This report is nearly a year old now, but I doubt the committee hearings this year have made much difference to hardcore Trump supporters
Yeah, and as has been pointed out elsewhere, at a minimum the hearings are creating an indelible public record, disseminated on a massive scale in real time, all of which seems important and valuable in itself. That the hearings been effective in laying out credible narratives, and have actually been compelling viewing, is less of an advantage than it might seem. I've seen people dismissing them as "The January 6 Show," as if they're anodyne entertainment for idiots who don't know that they're far too little and too late.Curry Pervert wrote: Sun Jul 24, 2022 5:53 pmYou're never going to sway the swivel-eyed loons, they're lost down the rabbit hole. Where these hearings can make a difference though is to ordinary people - people with no strong partisan feelings, swing voters and the like. It could even galvanise people who don't normally bother voting. Note that the 2020 election had one of the biggest voter turnouts ever seen - because the US had seen enough of trump. These hearings can only make those feelings stronger.susanvp wrote: Sun Jul 24, 2022 4:29 am This report is nearly a year old now, but I doubt the committee hearings this year have made much difference to hardcore Trump supporters
I think the real litmus test will be if prosecutions happen as a result, depending on how extensive they are.susanvp wrote: Mon Jul 25, 2022 4:35 amYeah, and as has been pointed out elsewhere, at a minimum the hearings are creating an indelible public record, disseminated on a massive scale in real time, all of which seems important and valuable in itself. That the hearings been effective in laying out credible narratives, and have actually been compelling viewing, is less of an advantage than it might seem. I've seen people dismissing them as "The January 6 Show," as if they're anodyne entertainment for idiots who don't know that they're far too little and too late.Curry Pervert wrote: Sun Jul 24, 2022 5:53 pmYou're never going to sway the swivel-eyed loons, they're lost down the rabbit hole. Where these hearings can make a difference though is to ordinary people - people with no strong partisan feelings, swing voters and the like. It could even galvanise people who don't normally bother voting. Note that the 2020 election had one of the biggest voter turnouts ever seen - because the US had seen enough of trump. These hearings can only make those feelings stronger.susanvp wrote: Sun Jul 24, 2022 4:29 am This report is nearly a year old now, but I doubt the committee hearings this year have made much difference to hardcore Trump supporters